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Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 · ES

Ourense vs Portugalete

08 Nov 2026 · 17:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a negligible model-market difference for an away win for Portugalete. The difference is too small to suggest meaningful disagreement.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 3.84 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 3.99. At this price, an away win for Portugalete does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME
Ourense
STOCHASTICBET 44.2%
PINNACLE 45.1% odd 2.07
DIFFERENCE -0.9 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 30.7%
PINNACLE 30.6% odd 3.05
DIFFERENCE +0.1 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
Portugalete
STOCHASTICBET 25.1%
PINNACLE 24.3% odd 3.84
DIFFERENCE +0.8 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 16:01
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Portugalete has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Ourense Portugalete
Shots 9.0 · On target 2.8 Shots 10.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Portugalete, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Ourense Portugalete
Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Ourense Portugalete

The combined recent performance profile favours Portugalete.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.