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Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 · ES

Getafe B vs UD San Sebastian Reyes

08 Nov 2026 · 11:30
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a negligible model-market difference for an away win for UD San Sebastian Reyes. The difference is too small to suggest meaningful disagreement.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 2.45 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.60. At this price, an away win for UD San Sebastian Reyes does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME
Getafe B
STOCHASTICBET 31.8%
PINNACLE 32.1% odd 2.91
DIFFERENCE -0.3 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 29.7%
PINNACLE 29.8% odd 3.13
DIFFERENCE -0.1 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
UD San Sebastian Reyes
STOCHASTICBET 38.5%
PINNACLE 38.1% odd 2.45
DIFFERENCE +0.4 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 10:31
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Getafe B

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Getafe B UD San Sebastian Reyes
Shots 12.5 · On target 5.3 Shots 8.0 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Getafe B, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Getafe B UD San Sebastian Reyes
Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 7.5 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.5

UD San Sebastian Reyes has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Getafe B UD San Sebastian Reyes

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-11-08 10:33:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME -0.04 pp -0.74 pp
DRAW -0.90 pp -0.72 pp
AWAY +0.94 pp +1.46 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME -0.04 pp -0.74 pp
DRAW -0.90 pp -0.72 pp
AWAY +0.94 pp +1.46 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.