SCR Pena Deportiva vs Yeclano

13 Sep 2026 · 11:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

SCR Pena Deportiva

Yeclano

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.5% DRAW 28.3% AWAY 42.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.2% 3.17 DRAW 28.4% 3.36 AWAY 41.4% 2.31

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Yeclano

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

SCR Pena Deportiva Yeclano

Shots 9.0 · On target 4.0 Shots 10.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SCR Pena Deportiva Yeclano

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.8

Yeclano has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SCR Pena Deportiva Yeclano

The combined recent performance profile favours Yeclano.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

SCR Pena Deportiva ↓ -0.64 (-16.7%)

Yeclano ↑ +0.48 (+26.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.