Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 · ES

CD Guadalajara vs Navalcarnero

08 Nov 2026 · 12:00

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for a home win for CD Guadalajara. The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.84 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.86. At this price, a home win for CD Guadalajara does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE

HOME MODEL > MARKET

CD Guadalajara

STOCHASTICBET 53.8%

PINNACLE 50.6% odd 1.84

DIFFERENCE +3.2 pp

DRAW

Draw

STOCHASTICBET 25.3%

PINNACLE 26.0% odd 3.59

DIFFERENCE -0.7 pp

AWAY

Navalcarnero

STOCHASTICBET 20.9%

PINNACLE 23.4% odd 3.98

DIFFERENCE -2.5 pp

STOCHASTICBET

PINNACLE MARKET

Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 11:41

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: CD Guadalajara

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Guadalajara Navalcarnero

Shots 14.8 · On target 7.0 Shots 7.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours CD Guadalajara, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Guadalajara Navalcarnero

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Guadalajara Navalcarnero

The combined recent performance profile favours CD Guadalajara.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.