La Nucia vs Real Murcia B

13 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.0 pp

La Nucia

Real Murcia B

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.5% DRAW 28.3% AWAY 20.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.7% 1.77 DRAW 28.1% 3.25 AWAY 20.2% 4.54

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: La Nucia

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

La Nucia Real Murcia B

Shots 4.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 7.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

La Nucia Real Murcia B

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 4.0

La Nucia has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

La Nucia Real Murcia B

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

La Nucia ↑ +0.04 (+2.5%)

Real Murcia B ↑ +0.20 (+4.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.