CF Intercity vs Atletico Baleares

13 Sep 2026 · 11:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

CF Intercity

Atletico Baleares

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 28.9% DRAW 31.7% AWAY 39.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.2% 3.02 DRAW 31.4% 3.00 AWAY 37.4% 2.52

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Atletico Baleares has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

CF Intercity Atletico Baleares

Shots 6.0 · On target 2.3 Shots 11.0 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Atletico Baleares, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CF Intercity Atletico Baleares

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CF Intercity Atletico Baleares

The combined recent performance profile favours Atletico Baleares.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

CF Intercity ↑ +0.42 (+16.2%)

Atletico Baleares ↑ +0.02 (+0.8%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.