Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 · ES

Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo

08 Nov 2026 · 12:00

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for Numancia. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.41 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.49. At this price, a home win for Numancia does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE

HOME MODEL > MARKET

Numancia

STOCHASTICBET 67.3%

PINNACLE 66.2% odd 1.41

DIFFERENCE +1.1 pp

DRAW

Draw

STOCHASTICBET 21.5%

PINNACLE 21.9% odd 4.26

DIFFERENCE -0.4 pp

AWAY

Calvo Sotelo

STOCHASTICBET 11.2%

PINNACLE 11.9% odd 7.87

DIFFERENCE -0.7 pp

STOCHASTICBET

PINNACLE MARKET

Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 11:41

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Numancia Calvo Sotelo

Shots 8.3 · On target 5.5 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Numancia, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Numancia Calvo Sotelo

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Numancia Calvo Sotelo

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.