Atletico Tordesillas vs Navalcarnero

20 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Atletico Tordesillas

Navalcarnero

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.8% DRAW 31.3% AWAY 34.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.1% 2.80 DRAW 30.9% 3.00 AWAY 36.0% 2.58

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Atletico Tordesillas

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Atletico Tordesillas Navalcarnero

Shots 10.5 · On target 5.0 Shots 12.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Atletico Tordesillas Navalcarnero

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Atletico Tordesillas Navalcarnero

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Atletico Tordesillas ↑ +0.10 (+3.7%)

Navalcarnero ↑ +0.03 (+1.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.