Albacete B vs Atletico Tordesillas

12 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Albacete B

Atletico Tordesillas

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.8% DRAW 32.1% AWAY 24.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.1% 2.28 DRAW 31.7% 3.10 AWAY 25.2% 3.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Albacete B

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Albacete B Atletico Tordesillas

Shots 9.5 · On target 3.5 Shots 8.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Albacete B Atletico Tordesillas

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Albacete B has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Albacete B Atletico Tordesillas

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Albacete B ↑ +0.03 (+1.3%)

Atletico Tordesillas ↑ +1.03 (+35.7%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.