Orihuela vs CF Lorca Deportiva

13 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Orihuela

CF Lorca Deportiva

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.9% DRAW 29.8% AWAY 30.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.4% 2.22 DRAW 29.4% 3.20 AWAY 28.1% 3.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

CF Lorca Deportiva has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Orihuela CF Lorca Deportiva

Shots 9.0 · On target 4.0 Shots 13.5 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours CF Lorca Deportiva, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Orihuela CF Lorca Deportiva

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.8

CF Lorca Deportiva has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Orihuela CF Lorca Deportiva

The combined recent performance profile favours CF Lorca Deportiva.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Orihuela ↑ +0.37 (+20.0%)

CF Lorca Deportiva ↓ -0.15 (-4.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.