Slavia Prague (W) vs Slovan Liberec (W)

12 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.6 pp

Slavia Prague (W)

Slovan Liberec (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 88.7% DRAW 7.3% AWAY 4.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 85.0% 1.13 DRAW 9.5% 10.16 AWAY 5.5% 17.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Slavia Prague (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 88.7% win probability, compared with 85.0% implied by the market. The 3.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Slavia Prague (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Slavia Prague (W) Slovan Liberec (W)

Shots 23.8 · On target 14.3 Shots 14.5 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours Slavia Prague (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Slavia Prague (W) Slovan Liberec (W)

Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 2.8

Slavia Prague (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Slavia Prague (W) Slovan Liberec (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Slavia Prague (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Slavia Prague (W) ↑ +0.01 (+0.4%)

Slovan Liberec (W) ↑ +4.50 (+34.6%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.