Sparta Praha (W) vs Slavia Prague (W)

06 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE AWAY +10.8 pp

Sparta Praha (W)

Slavia Prague (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.7% DRAW 25.0% AWAY 45.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.5% 2.30 DRAW 26.0% 3.50 AWAY 34.5% 2.63

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Slavia Prague (W) substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 45.4% win probability, compared with 34.5% implied by the market. The 10.8 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Slavia Prague (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sparta Praha (W) Slavia Prague (W)

Shots 1.0 · On target 0.8 Shots 24.3 · On target 13.3

Recent attacking output favours Slavia Prague (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sparta Praha (W) Slavia Prague (W)

Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 2.3

Sparta Praha (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sparta Praha (W) Slavia Prague (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Slavia Prague (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sparta Praha (W) = (0.0%)

Slavia Prague (W) ↑ +0.02 (+0.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.