UD Barbastro vs Barcelona B

20 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

UD Barbastro

Barcelona B

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 22.9% DRAW 26.8% AWAY 50.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 22.2% 4.20 DRAW 26.7% 3.50 AWAY 51.1% 1.83

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Barcelona B

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

UD Barbastro Barcelona B

Shots 10.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 14.3 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Barcelona B, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

UD Barbastro Barcelona B

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 3.5

UD Barbastro has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

UD Barbastro Barcelona B

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

UD Barbastro ↑ +1.31 (+45.3%)

Barcelona B ↓ -0.44 (-19.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.