Arnedo vs Terrassa

20 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Arnedo

Terrassa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 18.7% DRAW 26.1% AWAY 55.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 19.7% 4.74 DRAW 26.4% 3.53 AWAY 53.9% 1.73

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Terrassa

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Arnedo Terrassa

Shots 6.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 16.3 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Terrassa, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Arnedo Terrassa

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.8

Arnedo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Arnedo Terrassa

The combined recent performance profile favours Terrassa.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Arnedo ↑ +0.49 (+11.5%)

Terrassa ↓ -0.05 (-3.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.