Osasuna B vs Arnedo

13 Sep 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Osasuna B

Arnedo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 63.1% DRAW 22.4% AWAY 14.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 64.9% 1.46 DRAW 22.1% 4.30 AWAY 13.0% 7.28

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Arnedo has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Osasuna B Arnedo

Shots 7.5 · On target 2.8 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Arnedo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Osasuna B Arnedo

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.0

Arnedo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Osasuna B Arnedo

The combined recent performance profile favours Arnedo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Osasuna B ↓ -0.07 (-4.4%)

Arnedo ↑ +1.77 (+32.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.