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Spain Primera Women · ES

Deportivo A Coruna (W) vs Valencia (W)

09 Nov 2026 · 21:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for a home win for Deportivo A Coruna (W). The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.58 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.63. At this price, a home win for Deportivo A Coruna (W) does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Deportivo A Coruna (W)
STOCHASTICBET 61.4%
PINNACLE 58.3% odd 1.58
DIFFERENCE +3.1 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 23.2%
PINNACLE 24.2% odd 3.81
DIFFERENCE -0.9 pp
AWAY
Valencia (W)
STOCHASTICBET 15.4%
PINNACLE 17.6% odd 5.24
DIFFERENCE -2.2 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 09 Nov 2026 · 11:41
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Deportivo A Coruna (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Deportivo A Coruna (W) Valencia (W)
Shots 13.0 · On target 4.3 Shots 8.0 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Deportivo A Coruna (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Deportivo A Coruna (W) Valencia (W)
Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 19.3 · On target allowed 7.5

Deportivo A Coruna (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Deportivo A Coruna (W) Valencia (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Deportivo A Coruna (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-11-09 13:33:01

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME +1.94 pp +3.74 pp
DRAW -1.49 pp -1.95 pp
AWAY -0.45 pp -1.80 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME +0.35 pp +3.64 pp
DRAW -0.07 pp -1.04 pp
AWAY -0.28 pp -2.61 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.