Eibar (W) vs FC Badalona (W)

13 Sep 2026 · 19:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.1 pp

Eibar (W)

FC Badalona (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.0% DRAW 29.5% AWAY 44.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.9% 3.30 DRAW 29.7% 3.21 AWAY 41.4% 2.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FC Badalona (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 44.5% win probability, compared with 41.4% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FC Badalona (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Eibar (W) FC Badalona (W)

Shots 7.8 · On target 3.3 Shots 8.8 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours FC Badalona (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Eibar (W) FC Badalona (W)

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 2.8

FC Badalona (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Eibar (W) FC Badalona (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Badalona (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Eibar (W) ↑ +0.03 (+0.9%)

FC Badalona (W) ↑ +0.15 (+7.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.