Brabrand vs FC Roskilde

13 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.2 pp

Brabrand

FC Roskilde

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 22.3% DRAW 23.7% AWAY 54.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 24.5% 3.84 DRAW 24.7% 3.81 AWAY 50.8% 1.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FC Roskilde relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 54.0% win probability, compared with 50.8% implied by the market. The 3.2 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FC Roskilde has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Brabrand FC Roskilde

Shots 11.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 11.8 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours FC Roskilde, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Brabrand FC Roskilde

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.5

FC Roskilde has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Brabrand FC Roskilde

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Roskilde.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Brabrand ↑ +0.29 (+8.3%)

FC Roskilde ↓ -0.10 (-5.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.