Naestved vs Thisted FC

13 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Naestved

Thisted FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.7% DRAW 23.1% AWAY 18.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 59.8% 1.60 DRAW 23.2% 4.11 AWAY 17.0% 5.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Naestved

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Naestved Thisted FC

Shots 11.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 8.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Naestved, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Naestved Thisted FC

Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Thisted FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Naestved Thisted FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Naestved ↑ +0.09 (+5.6%)

Thisted FC ↓ -0.03 (-0.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.