KSZO Ostrowiec vs Naprzod Jedrzejow

05 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

KSZO Ostrowiec

Naprzod Jedrzejow

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 70.4% DRAW 18.2% AWAY 11.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 70.7% 1.30 DRAW 18.5% 4.97 AWAY 10.8% 8.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: KSZO Ostrowiec

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

KSZO Ostrowiec Naprzod Jedrzejow

Shots 17.3 · On target 6.3 Shots 13.0 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

KSZO Ostrowiec Naprzod Jedrzejow

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.8

Naprzod Jedrzejow has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

KSZO Ostrowiec Naprzod Jedrzejow

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

KSZO Ostrowiec = (0.0%)

Naprzod Jedrzejow ↑ +1.05 (+14.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.