Korona Kielce II vs Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna

12 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +5.0 pp

Korona Kielce II

Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.6% DRAW 24.2% AWAY 34.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.2% 2.02 DRAW 24.6% 3.80 AWAY 29.2% 3.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 34.2% win probability, compared with 29.2% implied by the market. The 5.0 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Korona Kielce II

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Korona Kielce II Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna

Shots 9.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 9.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Korona Kielce II Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna

Shots allowed 21.3 · On target allowed 8.3 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.8

Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Korona Kielce II Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna

The combined recent performance profile favours Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Korona Kielce II ↓ -0.13 (-6.0%)

Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna ↓ -0.30 (-8.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.