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Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion · CH

Lugano II vs Bavois

29 Aug 2026 · 17:30
MARKET CONSENSUS

Away Lean

Home 24.2%
Draw 23.7%
Away 52.1%

Consensus based on 5 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 27.8 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

Bavois has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack

Lugano II Bavois
Shots / match 10.5 14.8
On target / match 3.5 7.3

Defence

Lugano II Bavois
Shots allowed / match 16.0 9.0
On target allowed / match 8.5 5.0

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Lugano II ↑ +0.21 (+5.7%)
Bavois ↑ +0.03 (+1.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Quantitative context

Performance4 0.095
Shot rating -45
Shots-on-target rating -29
Qualified model signal None
INTERPRETATION

Away Lean

Market consensus and recent performance point toward the away side, but the StochasticBet model has not generated a qualified signal.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.