Lugano II vs SC Cham

26 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +5.2 pp

Lugano II

SC Cham

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 21.2% DRAW 21.6% AWAY 57.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 24.8% 3.77 DRAW 23.2% 4.03 AWAY 52.0% 1.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates SC Cham clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 57.2% win probability, compared with 52.0% implied by the market. The 5.2 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

SC Cham has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Lugano II SC Cham

Shots 9.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 15.0 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours SC Cham, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Lugano II SC Cham

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 7.5 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 2.8

SC Cham has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Lugano II SC Cham

The combined recent performance profile favours SC Cham.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Lugano II ↑ +0.03 (+0.7%)

SC Cham = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.