KTS-K Luzino vs Grom Nowy Staw

11 Sep 2026 · 15:30

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.4 pp

KTS-K Luzino

Grom Nowy Staw

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 74.0% DRAW 15.7% AWAY 10.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 69.6% 1.36 DRAW 17.9% 5.30 AWAY 12.6% 7.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates KTS-K Luzino clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 74.0% win probability, compared with 69.6% implied by the market. The 4.4 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: KTS-K Luzino

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

KTS-K Luzino Grom Nowy Staw

Shots 9.0 · On target 4.0 Shots 8.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

KTS-K Luzino Grom Nowy Staw

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 17.3 · On target allowed 8.5

KTS-K Luzino has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

KTS-K Luzino Grom Nowy Staw

The combined recent performance profile favours KTS-K Luzino.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

KTS-K Luzino = (0.0%)

Grom Nowy Staw ↑ +0.05 (+0.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.