Grom Nowy Staw vs Polonia Sroda Wlkp

05 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.4 pp

Grom Nowy Staw

Polonia Sroda Wlkp

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 18.4% DRAW 19.7% AWAY 61.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 21.2% 4.36 DRAW 21.3% 4.33 AWAY 57.4% 1.61

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Polonia Sroda Wlkp clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 61.9% win probability, compared with 57.4% implied by the market. The 4.4 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Polonia Sroda Wlkp has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Grom Nowy Staw Polonia Sroda Wlkp

Shots 7.3 · On target 4.5 Shots 13.8 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output favours Polonia Sroda Wlkp, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Grom Nowy Staw Polonia Sroda Wlkp

Shots allowed 17.5 · On target allowed 8.8 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 4.0

Polonia Sroda Wlkp has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Grom Nowy Staw Polonia Sroda Wlkp

The combined recent performance profile favours Polonia Sroda Wlkp.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Grom Nowy Staw ↓ -0.04 (-0.8%)

Polonia Sroda Wlkp ↑ +0.03 (+1.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.