Lech Poznan II vs Notec Czarnkow

12 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Lech Poznan II

Notec Czarnkow

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.2% DRAW 23.4% AWAY 26.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.2% 1.87 DRAW 23.9% 4.00 AWAY 24.9% 3.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Lech Poznan II

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Lech Poznan II Notec Czarnkow

Shots 17.0 · On target 6.8 Shots 16.0 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Lech Poznan II Notec Czarnkow

Shots allowed 20.0 · On target allowed 9.8 Shots allowed 17.3 · On target allowed 5.8

Notec Czarnkow has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Lech Poznan II Notec Czarnkow

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Lech Poznan II ↓ -0.08 (-4.1%)

Notec Czarnkow = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.