Moravia Morawica vs Czarni Polaniec

13 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Moravia Morawica

Czarni Polaniec

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.0% DRAW 25.1% AWAY 51.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 23.1% 4.12 DRAW 25.4% 3.75 AWAY 51.5% 1.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Czarni Polaniec has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Moravia Morawica Czarni Polaniec

Shots 13.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 14.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Moravia Morawica Czarni Polaniec

Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Moravia Morawica Czarni Polaniec

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Moravia Morawica ↑ +0.42 (+11.4%)

Czarni Polaniec ↑ +0.15 (+8.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.