Gzira United vs Saint Patrick FC Zabbar

14 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Gzira United

Saint Patrick FC Zabbar

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.9% DRAW 27.2% AWAY 37.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.8% 2.75 DRAW 27.4% 3.40 AWAY 38.8% 2.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Gzira United

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Gzira United Saint Patrick FC Zabbar

Shots 8.5 · On target 2.8 Shots 5.5 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Gzira United, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Gzira United Saint Patrick FC Zabbar

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Gzira United Saint Patrick FC Zabbar

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Gzira United ↓ -0.05 (-1.8%)

Saint Patrick FC Zabbar ↑ +0.20 (+9.1%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.