Cannes vs Amiens

10 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.3 pp

Cannes

Amiens

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.6% DRAW 25.2% AWAY 25.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.3% 2.06 DRAW 26.0% 3.66 AWAY 27.7% 3.45

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Cannes relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 49.6% win probability, compared with 46.3% implied by the market. The 3.3 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Cannes

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cannes Amiens

Shots 11.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 6.0 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours Cannes, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cannes Amiens

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cannes Amiens

The combined recent performance profile favours Cannes.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Cannes ↓ -0.05 (-2.4%)

Amiens ↑ +0.10 (+3.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.