Saint Patrick FC Zabbar vs Hamrun Spartans

06 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Saint Patrick FC Zabbar

Hamrun Spartans

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 15.5% DRAW 22.2% AWAY 62.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 14.8% 6.40 DRAW 22.2% 4.27 AWAY 63.1% 1.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Hamrun Spartans

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Saint Patrick FC Zabbar Hamrun Spartans

Shots 6.0 · On target 2.5 Shots 12.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Hamrun Spartans, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Saint Patrick FC Zabbar Hamrun Spartans

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.8

Saint Patrick FC Zabbar has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Saint Patrick FC Zabbar Hamrun Spartans

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Saint Patrick FC Zabbar ↑ +2.20 (+52.4%)

Hamrun Spartans ↓ -0.17 (-10.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.