Don Benito vs Atletico Sanluqueno

26 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Don Benito

Atletico Sanluqueno

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.5% DRAW 28.8% AWAY 20.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.0% 1.95 DRAW 29.0% 3.30 AWAY 22.0% 4.34

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Don Benito has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Don Benito Atletico Sanluqueno

Shots 9.0 · On target 5.8 Shots 7.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Don Benito, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Don Benito Atletico Sanluqueno

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 5.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Don Benito Atletico Sanluqueno

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Don Benito ↓ -0.35 (-15.1%)

Atletico Sanluqueno ↑ +1.54 (+55.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.