CP Mijas vs Ciudad Lucena

13 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

CP Mijas

Ciudad Lucena

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.2% DRAW 28.7% AWAY 42.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.2% 3.35 DRAW 28.4% 3.20 AWAY 44.4% 2.05

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: CP Mijas

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CP Mijas Ciudad Lucena

Shots 7.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 6.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CP Mijas Ciudad Lucena

Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 1.0 Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 3.3

CP Mijas has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CP Mijas Ciudad Lucena

The combined recent performance profile favours CP Mijas.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CP Mijas ↑ +0.10 (+2.9%)

Ciudad Lucena = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.