Don Benito vs Las Palmas B

13 Sep 2026 · 11:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Don Benito

Las Palmas B

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.8% DRAW 29.0% AWAY 32.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.9% 2.40 DRAW 29.1% 3.13 AWAY 33.0% 2.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Las Palmas B

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Don Benito Las Palmas B

Shots 10.3 · On target 6.3 Shots 10.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Don Benito, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Don Benito Las Palmas B

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Don Benito Las Palmas B

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Don Benito ↓ -0.15 (-5.9%)

Las Palmas B ↑ +0.25 (+10.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.