VfL Osnabruck vs Hertha Berlin

13 Sep 2026 · 13:30

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +5.7 pp

VfL Osnabruck

Hertha Berlin

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 25.7% DRAW 23.7% AWAY 50.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.1% 3.25 DRAW 25.0% 3.91 AWAY 44.9% 2.18

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Hertha Berlin clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 50.6% win probability, compared with 44.9% implied by the market. The 5.7 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Hertha Berlin has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

VfL Osnabruck Hertha Berlin

Shots 10.0 · On target 5.3 Shots 20.3 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output favours Hertha Berlin, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

VfL Osnabruck Hertha Berlin

Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Hertha Berlin has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

VfL Osnabruck Hertha Berlin

The combined recent performance profile favours Hertha Berlin.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

VfL Osnabruck ↑ +0.08 (+2.5%)

Hertha Berlin ↑ +0.03 (+1.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.