Hoogstraten VV vs K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Hoogstraten VV

K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.4% DRAW 25.4% AWAY 32.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.5% 2.20 DRAW 25.9% 3.60 AWAY 31.6% 2.96

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hoogstraten VV K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar

Shots 16.0 · On target 7.5 Shots 17.0 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hoogstraten VV K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 5.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hoogstraten VV K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Hoogstraten VV ↑ +0.37 (+20.0%)

K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar ↓ -0.79 (-21.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.