KSK Heist vs KVV Thes Sport

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

KSK Heist

KVV Thes Sport

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.1% DRAW 25.6% AWAY 32.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.3% 2.15 DRAW 26.1% 3.57 AWAY 30.7% 3.03

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: KVV Thes Sport

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

KSK Heist KVV Thes Sport

Shots 12.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 14.5 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours KVV Thes Sport, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

KSK Heist KVV Thes Sport

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 2.8

KVV Thes Sport has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

KSK Heist KVV Thes Sport

The combined recent performance profile favours KVV Thes Sport.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

KSK Heist ↓ -0.35 (-14.0%)

KVV Thes Sport ↑ +0.41 (+15.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.