Tienen vs SK Roeselare

20 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.9 pp

Tienen

SK Roeselare

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 19.3% DRAW 21.9% AWAY 58.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 21.8% 4.36 DRAW 23.2% 4.09 AWAY 55.0% 1.73

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for SK Roeselare relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 58.9% win probability, compared with 55.0% implied by the market. The 3.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

SK Roeselare has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tienen SK Roeselare

Shots 5.5 · On target 2.5 Shots 12.8 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours SK Roeselare, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tienen SK Roeselare

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.3

SK Roeselare has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tienen SK Roeselare

The combined recent performance profile favours SK Roeselare.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Tienen ↑ +0.37 (+9.1%)

SK Roeselare ↓ -0.18 (-9.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.