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Belgium First Amateur Division · BE

SK Roeselare vs Royal Knokke

24 Oct 2026 · 20:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for a home win for SK Roeselare. The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

The home side have experienced mixed results recently. Across the matches with available shooting data, they have generated considerably more attempts than they have conceded.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently. Defensive difficulties have been apparent. Across the matches with available shooting data, they have faced considerably more attempts than they have produced.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

The available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.62 exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.59. This suggests a potential pricing advantage for a home win for SK Roeselare, although the difference alone is not enough to establish a reliable betting opportunity. The assessment applies only before kick-off.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME MODEL > MARKET
SK Roeselare
STOCHASTICBET 63.0%
PINNACLE 57.2% odd 1.62
DIFFERENCE +5.8 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 21.5%
PINNACLE 23.1% odd 4.02
DIFFERENCE -1.6 pp
AWAY
Royal Knokke
STOCHASTICBET 15.5%
PINNACLE 19.7% odd 4.70
DIFFERENCE -4.3 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 24 Oct 2026 · 18:51
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

SK Roeselare has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
SK Roeselare Royal Knokke
Shots 16.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 7.8 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours SK Roeselare, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
SK Roeselare Royal Knokke
Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 17.0 · On target allowed 7.3

SK Roeselare has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
SK Roeselare Royal Knokke

The combined recent performance profile favours SK Roeselare.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Belgium First Amateur Division · 139 matches with scores · 126 with shots · coverage 90.7%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

SK Roeselare6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
DWWLLD
Shot data available for 4/6 matches
Royal Knokke6 matches · 4 home / 2 away
LLWDLW
Shot data available for 5/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
SK RoeselareHome team
+5.216.0 actual
Royal KnokkeAway team
−2.58.4 actual
SK Roeselare: 16.0 · league average 10.8 · 4 valid matchesRoyal Knokke: 8.4 · league average 10.9 · 5 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
SK RoeselareHome team
−2.38.5 actual
Royal KnokkeAway team
+6.317.0 actual
SK Roeselare: 8.5 · league average 10.8 · 4 valid matchesRoyal Knokke: 17.0 · league average 10.7 · 5 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
SK RoeselareHome team
+0.34.8 actual
Royal KnokkeAway team
−1.72.8 actual
SK Roeselare: 4.8 · league average 4.4 · 4 valid matchesRoyal Knokke: 2.8 · league average 4.5 · 5 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
SK RoeselareHome team
−1.92.5 actual
Royal KnokkeAway team
+2.97.2 actual
SK Roeselare: 2.5 · league average 4.4 · 4 valid matchesRoyal Knokke: 7.2 · league average 4.3 · 5 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
SK RoeselareHome team
−0.191.33 actual
Royal KnokkeAway team
−0.241.33 actual
SK Roeselare: 1.33 · league average 1.52 · 6 valid matchesRoyal Knokke: 1.33 · league average 1.57 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
SK RoeselareHome team
−4.8 pp9.4% actual
Royal KnokkeAway team
+0.1 pp14.3% actual
SK Roeselare: 9.4% · league average 14.2% · 4 valid matchesRoyal Knokke: 14.3% · league average 14.2% · 5 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
SK RoeselareHome team
−8.3 pp5.9% actual
Royal KnokkeAway team
−3.5 pp10.6% actual
SK Roeselare: 5.9% · league average 14.2% · 4 valid matchesRoyal Knokke: 10.6% · league average 14.1% · 5 valid matches

Individual match details

SK Roeselare · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
17/10/2026Away1–121 / 76 / 2
10/10/2026Home2–017 / 84 / 0
03/10/2026Away3–015 / 116 / 3
30/09/2026Home0–111 / 83 / 5
26/09/2026Home1–2——
20/09/2026Away1–1——
Royal Knokke · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
18/10/2026Home0–33 / 150 / 7
10/10/2026Away0–210 / 82 / 4
04/10/2026Home3–24 / 213 / 6
30/09/2026Away0–014 / 243 / 12
27/09/2026Home2–5——
20/09/2026Home3–211 / 176 / 7

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.