KFC Merelbeke vs KRC Harelbeke

20 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.8 pp

KFC Merelbeke

KRC Harelbeke

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.5% DRAW 21.7% AWAY 19.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.7% 1.69 DRAW 22.9% 4.12 AWAY 21.5% 4.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for KFC Merelbeke relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 58.5% win probability, compared with 55.7% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: KFC Merelbeke

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

KFC Merelbeke KRC Harelbeke

Shots 13.0 · On target 5.8 Shots 10.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours KFC Merelbeke, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

KFC Merelbeke KRC Harelbeke

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

KFC Merelbeke KRC Harelbeke

The combined recent performance profile favours KFC Merelbeke.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

KFC Merelbeke ↑ +0.29 (+21.0%)

KRC Harelbeke ↓ -1.11 (-20.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.