Wolfsburg vs Cottbus

05 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +6.0 pp

Wolfsburg

Cottbus

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 75.8% DRAW 15.3% AWAY 9.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 69.7% 1.40 DRAW 18.1% 5.40 AWAY 12.2% 8.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Wolfsburg substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 75.8% win probability, compared with 69.7% implied by the market. The 6.0 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Wolfsburg has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Wolfsburg Cottbus

Shots 22.8 · On target 10.0 Shots 15.3 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Wolfsburg, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Wolfsburg Cottbus

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 18.3 · On target allowed 7.5

Wolfsburg has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Wolfsburg Cottbus

The combined recent performance profile favours Wolfsburg.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Wolfsburg ↑ +0.02 (+1.4%)

Cottbus = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.