Zaglebie Lubin II vs Carina Gubin

18 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.2 pp

Zaglebie Lubin II

Carina Gubin

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 72.1% DRAW 16.4% AWAY 11.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 66.9% 1.40 DRAW 18.7% 5.00 AWAY 14.4% 6.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Zaglebie Lubin II clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 72.1% win probability, compared with 66.9% implied by the market. The 5.2 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Zaglebie Lubin II has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Zaglebie Lubin II Carina Gubin

Shots 15.3 · On target 6.5 Shots 11.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Zaglebie Lubin II, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Zaglebie Lubin II Carina Gubin

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 20.8 · On target allowed 8.0

Zaglebie Lubin II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Zaglebie Lubin II Carina Gubin

The combined recent performance profile favours Zaglebie Lubin II.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Zaglebie Lubin II ↓ -0.13 (-8.5%)

Carina Gubin ↑ +1.60 (+32.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.