Barycz Sulow vs Gornik Polkowice

12 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Barycz Sulow

Gornik Polkowice

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.1% DRAW 24.4% AWAY 31.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.7% 2.18 DRAW 25.2% 3.70 AWAY 32.1% 2.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Barycz Sulow

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Barycz Sulow Gornik Polkowice

Shots 11.8 · On target 3.3 Shots 11.3 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Barycz Sulow Gornik Polkowice

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Barycz Sulow Gornik Polkowice

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Barycz Sulow ↓ -0.17 (-7.2%)

Gornik Polkowice ↑ +0.45 (+18.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.