Aarhus Fremad 2 vs Marienlyst

12 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Aarhus Fremad 2

Marienlyst

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.6% DRAW 23.2% AWAY 34.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.6% 2.22 DRAW 24.1% 3.74 AWAY 35.2% 2.56

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Marienlyst

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Aarhus Fremad 2 Marienlyst

Shots 0.5 · On target 0.5 Shots 3.3 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Marienlyst, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Aarhus Fremad 2 Marienlyst

Shots allowed 1.3 · On target allowed 0.8 Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 3.5

Aarhus Fremad 2 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Aarhus Fremad 2 Marienlyst

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Aarhus Fremad 2 ↑ +0.65 (+41.4%)

Marienlyst ↓ -1.18 (-31.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.