Tarup-Paarup vs OKS

12 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Tarup-Paarup

OKS

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.7% DRAW 20.8% AWAY 25.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.1% 1.70 DRAW 21.9% 4.13 AWAY 25.1% 3.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Tarup-Paarup

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tarup-Paarup OKS

Shots 7.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 1.3 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours Tarup-Paarup, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tarup-Paarup OKS

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 0.8 · On target allowed 0.8

OKS has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tarup-Paarup OKS

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Tarup-Paarup ↑ +0.41 (+31.8%)

OKS ↓ -2.95 (-45.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.