Zabkovia Zabki vs Mlawianka Mlawa

25 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.0 pp

Zabkovia Zabki

Mlawianka Mlawa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.7% DRAW 21.3% AWAY 22.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.7% 1.85 DRAW 22.9% 4.08 AWAY 26.4% 3.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Zabkovia Zabki clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 55.7% win probability, compared with 50.7% implied by the market. The 5.0 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Zabkovia Zabki has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Zabkovia Zabki Mlawianka Mlawa

Shots 19.3 · On target 6.8 Shots 16.0 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Zabkovia Zabki Mlawianka Mlawa

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 17.0 · On target allowed 7.3

Zabkovia Zabki has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Zabkovia Zabki Mlawianka Mlawa

The combined recent performance profile favours Zabkovia Zabki.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Zabkovia Zabki ↑ +0.15 (+8.6%)

Mlawianka Mlawa = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.