Vejgaard B vs VRI

12 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE AWAY +6.4 pp

Vejgaard B

VRI

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.9% DRAW 22.4% AWAY 44.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.2% 2.33 DRAW 23.6% 3.78 AWAY 38.2% 2.33

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates VRI substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 44.7% win probability, compared with 38.2% implied by the market. The 6.4 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

VRI has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Vejgaard B VRI

Shots 3.0 · On target 2.5 Shots 12.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours VRI, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Vejgaard B VRI

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.3

VRI has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Vejgaard B VRI

The combined recent performance profile favours VRI.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Vejgaard B = (0.0%)

VRI = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.