FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) vs FK Austria Vienna (W)

13 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)

FK Austria Vienna (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 1.8% DRAW 3.9% AWAY 94.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 1.9% 51.00 DRAW 4.6% 21.00 AWAY 93.6% 1.03

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

FK Austria Vienna (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) FK Austria Vienna (W)

Shots 9.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 12.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours FK Austria Vienna (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) FK Austria Vienna (W)

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 1.5

FK Austria Vienna (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) FK Austria Vienna (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours FK Austria Vienna (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) ↑ +30.00 (+142.9%)

FK Austria Vienna (W) ↑ +0.01 (+0.5%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.