Rouen vs Valenciennes

03 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Rouen

Valenciennes

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.2% DRAW 26.7% AWAY 21.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.0% 1.90 DRAW 27.2% 3.49 AWAY 22.7% 4.18

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Rouen has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Rouen Valenciennes

Shots 12.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 10.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Rouen Valenciennes

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.5

Rouen has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Rouen Valenciennes

The combined recent performance profile favours Rouen.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Rouen ↓ -0.08 (-4.0%)

Valenciennes ↑ +0.47 (+12.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.