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Austria Regionalliga Ost · AT

SV Horn vs Wiener Sportclub

23 Oct 2026 · 19:30
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for an away win for Wiener Sportclub. The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

The home side have experienced mixed results recently. Defensive difficulties have been apparent. Across the matches with available shooting data, they have faced considerably more attempts than they have produced.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently. They have generated considerably more attempts than they have conceded.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.56 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.65. At this price, an away win for Wiener Sportclub does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME
SV Horn
STOCHASTICBET 18.2%
PINNACLE 20.5% odd 4.38
DIFFERENCE -2.3 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 21.1%
PINNACLE 22.0% odd 4.08
DIFFERENCE -0.9 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
Wiener Sportclub
STOCHASTICBET 60.7%
PINNACLE 57.5% odd 1.56
DIFFERENCE +3.2 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 23 Oct 2026 · 19:01
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Wiener Sportclub has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
SV Horn Wiener Sportclub
Shots 8.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 11.8 · On target 7.5

Recent attacking output favours Wiener Sportclub, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
SV Horn Wiener Sportclub
Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Wiener Sportclub has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
SV Horn Wiener Sportclub

The combined recent performance profile favours Wiener Sportclub.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Austria Regionalliga Ost · 144 matches with scores · 135 with shots · coverage 93.8%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

SV Horn6 matches · 2 home / 4 away
LLLLWL
Shot data available for 4/6 matches
Wiener Sportclub6 matches · 2 home / 4 away
WDLWLW
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
SV HornHome team
−2.78.0 actual
Wiener SportclubAway team
+3.113.5 actual
SV Horn: 8.0 · league average 10.7 · 4 valid matchesWiener Sportclub: 13.5 · league average 10.4 · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
SV HornHome team
+1.812.5 actual
Wiener SportclubAway team
−2.18.8 actual
SV Horn: 12.5 · league average 10.7 · 4 valid matchesWiener Sportclub: 8.8 · league average 11.0 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
SV HornHome team
−2.13.0 actual
Wiener SportclubAway team
+2.87.7 actual
SV Horn: 3.0 · league average 5.1 · 4 valid matchesWiener Sportclub: 7.7 · league average 4.9 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
SV HornHome team
+1.56.5 actual
Wiener SportclubAway team
−0.44.8 actual
SV Horn: 6.5 · league average 5.1 · 4 valid matchesWiener Sportclub: 4.8 · league average 5.2 · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
SV HornHome team
−0.261.33 actual
Wiener SportclubAway team
+1.082.67 actual
SV Horn: 1.33 · league average 1.59 · 6 valid matchesWiener Sportclub: 2.67 · league average 1.59 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
SV HornHome team
+0.2 pp15.6% actual
Wiener SportclubAway team
+4.4 pp19.8% actual
SV Horn: 15.6% · league average 15.5% · 4 valid matchesWiener Sportclub: 19.8% · league average 15.3% · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
SV HornHome team
+6.5 pp22.0% actual
Wiener SportclubAway team
+1.4 pp17.0% actual
SV Horn: 22.0% · league average 15.5% · 4 valid matchesWiener Sportclub: 17.0% · league average 15.6% · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

SV Horn · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
16/10/2026Away0–1——
10/10/2026Home0–13 / 81 / 3
02/10/2026Away1–35 / 152 / 9
25/09/2026Home3–415 / 126 / 8
19/09/2026Away3–1——
11/09/2026Away1–39 / 153 / 6
Wiener Sportclub · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
16/10/2026Home2–07 / 34 / 2
09/10/2026Away1–18 / 54 / 2
02/10/2026Away3–417 / 1212 / 6
26/09/2026Away3–215 / 1410 / 8
18/09/2026Home1–211 / 113 / 5
12/09/2026Away6–023 / 813 / 6

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.