SV Gloggnitz vs FC Marchfeld Donauauen

04 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.0 pp

SV Gloggnitz

FC Marchfeld Donauauen

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.1% DRAW 21.7% AWAY 55.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 24.9% 3.77 DRAW 22.9% 4.10 AWAY 52.2% 1.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FC Marchfeld Donauauen relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 55.2% win probability, compared with 52.2% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FC Marchfeld Donauauen has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

SV Gloggnitz FC Marchfeld Donauauen

Shots 7.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 13.8 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours FC Marchfeld Donauauen, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SV Gloggnitz FC Marchfeld Donauauen

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SV Gloggnitz FC Marchfeld Donauauen

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Marchfeld Donauauen.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

SV Gloggnitz ↑ +0.07 (+1.8%)

FC Marchfeld Donauauen ↑ +0.05 (+2.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.